July 18, 2018

Dean Kremer and 5 others: Baltimore OriolesLos Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles came out ahead by 4.6 WAR, most of it from Dean Kremer.

Baltimore Orioles

franchise trade score

91far better

Franchise trade score91

Rest of season1WAR in+0.0WAR out+2.7Net-2.6Net surplus−$18.1M

Short term5WAR in+0.0WAR out+2.7Net-2.6Net surplus−$18.1M

Control window95WAR in+7.3WAR out+2.7Net+4.6Net surplus$29.2M

Full tenure94WAR in+6.8WAR out+2.7Net+4.2Net surplus$24.4M

Los Angeles Dodgers

franchise trade score

9far worse

Franchise trade score9

Rest of season99WAR in+2.7WAR out+0.0Net+2.6Net surplus$18.1M

Short term95WAR in+2.7WAR out+0.0Net+2.6Net surplus$18.1M

Control window5WAR in+2.7WAR out+7.3Net-4.6Net surplus−$29.2M

Full tenure6WAR in+2.7WAR out+6.8Net-4.2Net surplus−$24.4M

LAD reached the World Series in 2018

Baltimore Orioles received

Breyvic ValeraLF · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr56

Rest of season74WAR+0.0wRC+80PA41Surplus$0.0M

Short term58WAR+0.0wRC+80PA41Surplus$0.0M

Control window55WAR+0.0wRC+80PA41Surplus$0.0M

Full tenure55WAR+0.0wRC+80PA41Surplus$0.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -19.

Yusniel Diaz—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Zach PopP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for BAL

Dean KremerP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control+7.2WAR (control) · 6 yr79

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window90WAR+7.2FIP−104IP672Surplus$47.3M

Full tenure88WAR+6.8FIP−106IP708Surplus$42.5M

Rylan Bannon—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Breyvic Valera	pre-arb	est.	$0.3M	+0.0	—	$0.0M
Zach Pop	prospect	est.	$0.0M	0.0	—	$0.0M
Dean Kremer	prospect	est.	$6.4M	+7.2	$0.9M	$47.3M
Total over the control window			$6.6M	+7.3	$0.9M	$47.3M

Los Angeles Dodgers received

Manny Machado3B · 26 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+2.7WAR (control) · 1 yr89

Rest of season96WAR+2.7wRC+121PA296Surplus$18.1M

Short term92WAR+2.7wRC+121PA296Surplus$18.1M

Control window88WAR+2.7wRC+121PA296Surplus$18.1M

Full tenure87WAR+2.7wRC+121PA296Surplus$18.1M

On the day: +15.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 102, salary $16.0M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Manny Machado	arb 3	$16.0M	$6.7M	+2.7	$2.5M	$18.1M
Total over the control window			$6.7M	+2.7	$2.5M	$18.1M

What this became

Dean Kremer → MINDean Kremer, BAL ⇄ MIN, 2026+0.4 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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