January 19, 2018

Randal Grichuk and 2 others: St. Louis CardinalsToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays came out ahead by 4.5 WAR, most of it from Randal Grichuk.

St. Louis Cardinals
franchise trade score
6far worse
Franchise trade score6
Rest of season1WAR in+0.1WAR out+2.8Net-2.7Net surplus−$23.6M
Short term2WAR in-0.3WAR out+3.7Net-4.0Net surplus−$26.9M
Control window6WAR in-0.3WAR out+4.2Net-4.5Net surplus−$18.9M
Full tenure8WAR in-0.3WAR out+4.9Net-5.2Net surplus−$13.0M
Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
94far better
Franchise trade score94
Rest of season99WAR in+2.8WAR out+0.1Net+2.7Net surplus$23.6M
Short term98WAR in+3.7WAR out-0.3Net+4.0Net surplus$26.9M
Control window94WAR in+4.2WAR out-0.3Net+4.5Net surplus$18.9M
Full tenure92WAR in+4.9WAR out-0.3Net+5.2Net surplus$13.0M

St. Louis Cardinals received

Dominic LeoneP · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr18
Rest of season59WAR+0.1FIP−91IP24Surplus−$0.4M
Short term17WAR-0.3FIP−114IP65Surplus−$3.4M
Control window18WAR-0.3FIP−114IP65Surplus−$3.4M
Full tenure19WAR-0.3FIP−114IP65Surplus−$3.4M

On the day: +1.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 66, salary $1.1M.

Conner GreeneP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for STL

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Dominic Leonepre-arb$1.1M$2.3M-0.3−$3.4M
Conner Greeneprospectest.$0.0M0.0$0.0M
Total over the control window$2.3M-0.3−$3.4M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Randal GrichukDH · 27 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+4.2WAR (control) · 3 yr88
Rest of season96WAR+2.8wRC+114PA462Surplus$23.2M
Short term90WAR+3.7wRC+101PA1090Surplus$23.5M
Control window87WAR+4.2wRC+102PA1321Surplus$15.4M
Full tenure85WAR+4.9wRC+97PA1866Surplus$9.5M

On the day: +5.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 95, salary $2.8M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Randal Grichukarb 1$2.8M$20.6M+4.2$4.8M$15.4M
Total over the control window$20.6M+4.2$4.8M$15.4M

What this became

  1. Randal Grichuk → COLRandal Grichuk, COL ⇄ TOR, 2022+1.2 WAR
  2. Randal Grichuk → LAARandal Grichuk, COL ⇄ LAA, 2023+0.2 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All STL ⇄ TOR tradesHow the scores work