July 31, 2017

Teoscar Hernández and 2 others: Houston AstrosToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays came out ahead by 11.1 WAR, most of it from Teoscar Hernández.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season6WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.7Net-0.7Net surplus−$7.4M
Short term9WAR in-0.1WAR out+1.4Net-1.4Net surplus−$10.5M
Control window2WAR in-0.1WAR out+11.0Net-11.1Net surplus−$61.8M
Full tenure2WAR in-0.1WAR out+11.0Net-11.1Net surplus−$61.8M

HOU won the World Series in 2017

Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season94WAR in+0.7WAR out-0.1Net+0.7Net surplus$7.4M
Short term91WAR in+1.4WAR out-0.1Net+1.4Net surplus$10.5M
Control window98WAR in+11.0WAR out-0.1Net+11.1Net surplus$61.8M
Full tenure98WAR in+11.0WAR out-0.1Net+11.1Net surplus$61.8M

Houston Astros received

Francisco LirianoP · 34 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr20
Rest of season12WAR-0.1FIP−95IP14Surplus−$6.1M
Short term19WAR-0.1FIP−95IP14Surplus−$6.1M
Control window21WAR-0.1FIP−95IP14Surplus−$6.1M
Full tenure21WAR-0.1FIP−95IP14Surplus−$6.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +5.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 77, FIP− 118, salary $13.7M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Francisco Lirianosigned (FA)$13.7M$5.7M-0.1−$6.1M
Total over the control window$5.7M-0.1−$6.1M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Nori AokiRF · 35 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr49
Rest of season59WAR+0.2wRC+126PA34Surplus−$1.1M
Short term49WAR+0.2wRC+126PA34Surplus−$1.1M
Control window48WAR+0.2wRC+126PA34Surplus−$1.1M
Full tenure49WAR+0.2wRC+126PA34Surplus−$1.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +4.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 107, salary $5.5M.

Teoscar HernándezLF · 25 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+10.8WAR (control) · 6 yr93
Rest of season86WAR+0.5wRC+134PA95Surplus$2.4M
Short term81WAR+1.2wRC+110PA618Surplus$5.6M
Control window96WAR+10.8wRC+121PA2419Surplus$56.9M
Full tenure96WAR+10.8wRC+121PA2419Surplus$56.9M

On the day: +0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 95.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Nori Aokiarb 2$5.5M$2.3M+0.2−$1.1M
Teoscar Hernándezpre-arbest.$17.0M+10.8$1.6M$56.9M
Total over the control window$19.3M+11.0$1.7M$55.7M

What this became

  1. Teoscar Hernández → SEATeoscar Hernández, SEA ⇄ TOR, 2022+2.1 WAR
  2. Adam Macko → TEXJosh Smith, TEX ⇄ TOR, 2026-0.0 WAR

Also that day

ARI ⇄ OAK, 2017Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ AthleticsAddison Reed, BOS ⇄ NYM, 2017Boston Red Sox ⇄ New York MetsJoe Smith, CLE ⇄ TOR, 2017Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysJeremy Jeffress, MIL ⇄ TEX, 2017Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ Texas RangersPHI ⇄ PIT, 2017Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesBrandon Kintzler, MIN ⇄ WSN, 2017Minnesota Twins ⇄ Washington NationalsTim Beckham, BAL ⇄ TBR, 2017Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysTony Cingrani, CIN ⇄ LAD, 2017Cincinnati Reds ⇄ Los Angeles DodgersJeimer Candelario, CHC ⇄ DET, 2017Chicago Cubs ⇄ Detroit TigersJames Kaprielian, NYY ⇄ OAK, 2017New York Yankees ⇄ AthleticsDavid Hernandez, ARI ⇄ LAA, 2017Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Los Angeles AngelsOneil Cruz, LAD ⇄ PIT, 2017Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesYu Darvish, LAD ⇄ TEX, 2017Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Texas Rangers

The web around this trade

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All HOU ⇄ TOR tradesHow the scores work