December 6, 2016

Travis Shaw and 4 others: Boston Red SoxMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers came out ahead by 7.4 WAR, most of it from Travis Shaw.

Boston Red Sox
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term1WAR in0.0WAR out+4.3Net-4.3Net surplus−$44.7M
Control window2WAR in-0.4WAR out+7.0Net-7.4Net surplus−$78.2M
Full tenure3WAR in-0.4WAR out+7.0Net-7.4Net surplus−$78.2M

BOS won the World Series in 2018

Milwaukee Brewers
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term99WAR in+4.3WAR out0.0Net+4.3Net surplus$44.7M
Control window98WAR in+7.0WAR out-0.4Net+7.4Net surplus$78.2M
Full tenure97WAR in+7.0WAR out-0.4Net+7.4Net surplus$78.2M

Boston Red Sox received

Tyler ThornburgP · 28 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 2 yr17
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window12WAR-0.4FIP−133IP43Surplus−$4.9M
Full tenure12WAR-0.4FIP−133IP43Surplus−$4.9M

On the day: +0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 128, salary $514K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Tyler Thornburgpre-arb$514K$3.8M-0.4—−$4.9M
Total over the control window$3.8M-0.4—−$4.9M

Milwaukee Brewers received

Travis Shaw3B · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+7.1WAR (control) · 3 yr93
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term96WAR+4.3wRC+120PA606Surplus$44.7M
Control window93WAR+7.1wRC+106PA1463Surplus$74.0M
Full tenure92WAR+7.1wRC+106PA1463Surplus$74.0M

On the day: +3.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 118, salary $515K.

Mauricio DubónLF · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr33
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window30WAR-0.0wRC+-100PA2Surplus−$0.7M
Full tenure31WAR-0.0wRC+-100PA2Surplus−$0.7M

too little playing time to rate quality

Josh Pennington—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Yeison Coca—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Travis Shawpre-arb$515K$5.8M+7.1$0.8M$74.0M
Mauricio Dubónprospectest.$0.6M-0.0—−$0.7M
Total over the control window$6.4M+7.0$0.9M$73.3M

What this became

  1. Mauricio Dubón → SFGMauricio Dubón, MIL ⇄ SFG, 2019+1.8 WAR
  2. Mauricio Dubón → HOUMauricio Dubón, HOU ⇄ SFG, 2022+5.2 WAR
  3. Mauricio Dubón → ATLMauricio Dubón, ATL ⇄ HOU, 2025+1.8 WAR

Also that day

Chris Sale, BOS ⇄ CHW, 2016Boston Red Sox ⇄ Chicago White Sox

The web around this trade

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All BOS ⇄ MIL tradesHow the scores work