July 20, 2016

Mike Montgomery and 3 others: Chicago CubsSeattle Mariners

Chicago Cubs came out ahead by 2.8 WAR, most of it from Mike Montgomery.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
93far better
Franchise trade score93
Rest of season88WAR in+0.2WAR out-0.3Net+0.5Net surplus$2.7M
Short term96WAR in+2.1WAR out-0.7Net+2.9Net surplus$18.1M
Control window93WAR in+2.8WAR out-0.0Net+2.8Net surplus$17.5M
Full tenure92WAR in+2.8WAR out-0.0Net+2.8Net surplus$17.5M

CHC won the World Series in 2016

Seattle Mariners
franchise trade score
7far worse
Franchise trade score7
Rest of season12WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.2Net-0.5Net surplus−$2.7M
Short term4WAR in-0.7WAR out+2.1Net-2.9Net surplus−$18.1M
Control window7WAR in-0.0WAR out+2.8Net-2.8Net surplus−$17.5M
Full tenure8WAR in-0.0WAR out+2.8Net-2.8Net surplus−$17.5M

Chicago Cubs received

Mike MontgomeryP · 27 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+2.8WAR (control) · 4 yr84
Rest of season74WAR+0.2FIP−115IP38Surplus$1.0M
Short term86WAR+2.1FIP−99IP169Surplus$13.6M
Control window83WAR+2.8FIP−102IP320Surplus$15.9M
Full tenure82WAR+2.8FIP−102IP320Surplus$15.9M

On the day: +1.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 118, salary $515K.

Jordan Pries—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Mike Montgomerypre-arb$515K$3.8M+2.8$1.4M$15.9M
Total over the control window$3.8M+2.8$1.4M$15.9M

Seattle Mariners received

Dan Vogelbach1B · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.0WAR (control) · 5 yr28
Rest of season9WAR-0.3wRC+-33PA13Surplus−$1.7M
Short term5WAR-0.7wRC+28PA44Surplus−$4.6M
Control window34WAR-0.0wRC+99PA768Surplus−$1.6M
Full tenure34WAR-0.0wRC+99PA768Surplus−$1.6M
Paul BlackburnP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for SEA

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Dan Vogelbachpre-arbest.$2.6M-0.0—−$1.6M
Paul Blackburnprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Total over the control window$2.6M-0.0—−$1.6M

What this became

  1. Paul Blackburn → OAKPaul Blackburn, OAK ⇄ SEA, 2016+1.3 WAR
  2. Mike Montgomery → KCRMike Montgomery, CHC ⇄ KCR, 2019+0.4 WAR
  3. Martín Maldonado → HOUMartín Maldonado, CHC ⇄ HOU, 2019+0.5 WAR
  4. Paul Blackburn → NYMNYM ⇄ OAK, 2024-0.2 WAR
  5. Tony Kemp → OAKTony Kemp, CHC ⇄ OAK, 2020+4.1 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All CHC ⇄ SEA tradesHow the scores work