August 7, 2014

Víctor Arano and 2 others: Los Angeles DodgersPhiladelphia Phillies

Víctor Arano stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

franchise trade score

16far worse

Franchise trade score16

Rest of season11WAR in-0.4WAR out0.0Net-0.4Net surplus−$3.4M

Short term21WAR in-0.4WAR out0.0Net-0.4Net surplus−$3.4M

Control window15WAR in-0.4WAR out+1.1Net-1.5Net surplus−$4.6M

Full tenure17WAR in-0.4WAR out+1.1Net-1.5Net surplus−$4.6M

franchise trade score

84far better

Franchise trade score84

Rest of season89WAR in0.0WAR out-0.4Net+0.4Net surplus$3.4M

Short term79WAR in0.0WAR out-0.4Net+0.4Net surplus$3.4M

Control window85WAR in+1.1WAR out-0.4Net+1.5Net surplus$4.6M

Full tenure83WAR in+1.1WAR out-0.4Net+1.5Net surplus$4.6M

Los Angeles Dodgers received

Roberto HernándezP · 34 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr10

Rest of season5WAR-0.4FIP−152IP44Surplus−$3.4M

Short term9WAR-0.4FIP−152IP44Surplus−$3.4M

Control window10WAR-0.4FIP−152IP44Surplus−$3.4M

Full tenure11WAR-0.4FIP−152IP44Surplus−$3.4M

On the day: -0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 119, salary $4.5M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Roberto Hernández	signed (FA)	$4.5M	$1.5M	-0.4	—	−$3.4M
Total over the control window			$1.5M	-0.4	—	−$3.4M

Víctor AranoP · 19 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.7WAR (control) · 3 yr75

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window83WAR+1.7FIP−76IP75Surplus$4.2M

Full tenure82WAR+1.7FIP−76IP75Surplus$4.2M

Jesmuel ValentínLF · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr16

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Control window8WAR-0.6wRC+53PA89Surplus−$3.1M

Full tenure9WAR-0.6wRC+53PA89Surplus−$3.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Víctor Arano	prospect	est.	$7.0M	+1.7	$4.1M	$4.2M
Jesmuel Valentín	prospect	est.	$0.6M	-0.6	—	−$3.1M
Total over the control window			$7.6M	+1.1	$6.9M	$1.1M

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

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