July 2, 2013 · Cash considerations

Jake Arrieta and 3 others: Baltimore OriolesChicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs came out ahead by 15.2 WAR, most of it from Jake Arrieta.

Baltimore Orioles
franchise trade score
1far worse
Franchise trade score1
Rest of season10WAR in+0.7WAR out+1.2Net-0.4Net surplus−$4.1M
Short term0WAR in+0.7WAR out+8.1Net-7.4Net surplus−$61.6M
Control window1WAR in+0.9WAR out+16.1Net-15.2Net surplus−$131.9M
Full tenure0WAR in+0.9WAR out+26.7Net-25.8Net surplus−$167.7M
Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
99far better
Franchise trade score99
Rest of season90WAR in+1.2WAR out+0.7Net+0.4Net surplus$4.1M
Short term100WAR in+8.1WAR out+0.7Net+7.4Net surplus$61.6M
Control window99WAR in+16.1WAR out+0.9Net+15.2Net surplus$131.9M
Full tenure100WAR in+26.7WAR out+0.9Net+25.8Net surplus$167.7M

CHC won the World Series in 2016

Baltimore Orioles received

Scott FeldmanP · 30 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.8WAR (control) · 1 yr71
Rest of season84WAR+0.8FIP−100IP91Surplus$1.0M
Short term73WAR+0.8FIP−100IP91Surplus$1.0M
Control window70WAR+0.8FIP−100IP91Surplus$1.0M
Full tenure70WAR+0.8FIP−100IP91Surplus$1.0M

On the day: +1.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 27, FIP− 90, salary $6.0M.

Steve ClevengerC · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 3 yr38
Rest of season18WAR-0.1wRC+58PA15Surplus−$0.5M
Short term22WAR-0.1wRC+70PA112Surplus−$1.2M
Control window44WAR+0.1wRC+84PA217Surplus−$0.8M
Full tenure44WAR+0.1wRC+84PA217Surplus−$0.8M

On the day: -1.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 45, salary $496K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Scott Feldmansigned (FA)$6.0M$2.5M+0.8$3.1M$1.0M
Steve Clevengerpre-arb$496K$1.2M+0.1−$0.8M
Total over the control window$3.7M+0.9$4.3M$0.2M

Chicago Cubs received

Jake ArrietaP · 27 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+13.9WAR (control) · 3 yr98
Rest of season73WAR+0.3FIP−131IP52Surplus$1.2M
Short term97WAR+5.9FIP−78IP208Surplus$51.3M
Control window97WAR+13.9FIP−69IP437Surplus$121.9M
Full tenure97WAR+20.4FIP−79IP803Surplus$153.8M

On the day: +1.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -2, FIP− 95, salary $517K.

Pedro StropP · 28 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+2.2WAR (control) · 2 yr88
Rest of season92WAR+0.8FIP−61IP35Surplus$3.5M
Short term90WAR+2.2FIP−68IP96Surplus$10.1M
Control window87WAR+2.2FIP−68IP96Surplus$10.1M
Full tenure92WAR+6.3FIP−79IP373Surplus$14.1M

On the day: +2.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 84, salary $503K.

CashWAR (control)

Not rated — cash.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jake Arrietaarb 1$517K$4.3M+13.9$0.3M$121.9M
Pedro Stroparb 2$503K$1.5M+2.2$0.7M$10.1M
Total over the control window$5.9M+16.1$0.4M$132.1M

What this became

  1. Steve Clevenger → SEAMark Trumbo, BAL ⇄ SEA, 2015-0.1 WAR

Also that day

Matt Guerrier, CHC ⇄ LAD, 2013Chicago Cubs ⇄ Los Angeles Dodgers

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All BAL ⇄ CHC tradesHow the scores work