July 31, 2010 · Cash considerations

Ted Lilly and 4 others: Chicago CubsLos Angeles Dodgers

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
14far worse
Franchise trade score14
Rest of season11WAR in-0.1WAR out+1.6Net-1.7Net surplus−$1.8M
Short term20WAR in-0.0WAR out+3.0Net-3.0Net surplus−$1.3M
Control window15WAR in-0.4WAR out+1.6Net-1.9Net surplus−$4.1M
Full tenure64WAR in-0.4WAR out+3.3Net-3.6Net surplus$14.1M
Los Angeles Dodgers
franchise trade score
86far better
Franchise trade score86
Rest of season89WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.1Net+1.7Net surplus$1.8M
Short term80WAR in+3.0WAR out-0.0Net+3.0Net surplus$1.3M
Control window85WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.4Net+1.9Net surplus$4.1M
Full tenure36WAR in+3.3WAR out-0.4Net+3.6Net surplus−$14.1M

Chicago Cubs received

Blake DeWitt2B · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 3 yr18
Rest of season18WAR-0.1wRC+79PA204Surplus−$0.5M
Short term31WAR-0.0wRC+86PA447Surplus−$0.6M
Control window15WAR-0.4wRC+78PA477Surplus−$2.9M
Full tenure15WAR-0.4wRC+78PA477Surplus−$2.9M

On the day: +2.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 63, salary $410K.

Brett WallachWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Kyle SmitWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Blake DeWittpre-arb$410K$1.7M-0.4−$2.9M
Total over the control window$1.7M-0.4−$2.9M

Los Angeles Dodgers received

CashWAR (control)

Not rated — cash.

Ted LillyP · 34 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+1.3WAR (control) · 1 yr76
Rest of season86WAR+1.3FIP−101IP77Surplus$1.1M
Short term79WAR+2.7FIP−108IP269Surplus$0.5M
Control window73WAR+1.3FIP−101IP77Surplus$1.1M
Full tenure55WAR+3.0FIP−109IP341Surplus−$17.1M

On the day: +11.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -48, FIP− 85, salary $13.0M.

Ryan TheriotSS · 31 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr57
Rest of season72WAR+0.3wRC+75PA228Surplus$0.2M
Short term59WAR+0.3wRC+75PA228Surplus$0.2M
Control window56WAR+0.3wRC+75PA228Surplus$0.2M
Full tenure56WAR+0.3wRC+75PA228Surplus$0.2M

On the day: +5.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 87, salary $2.6M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ted Lillysigned (FA)$13.0M$5.4M+1.3$4.3M$1.1M
Ryan Theriotarb 1$2.6M$1.1M+0.3$0.2M
Total over the control window$6.5M+1.6$4.1M$1.3M

What this became

  1. Ryan Theriot → STLRyan Theriot, LAD ⇄ STL, 2010+0.3 WAR

Also that day

James McDonald, LAD ⇄ PIT, 2010Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesKerry Wood, CLE ⇄ NYY, 2010Cleveland Guardians ⇄ New York YankeesJarrod Saltalamacchia, BOS ⇄ TEX, 2010Boston Red Sox ⇄ Texas RangersChris Snyder, ARI ⇄ PIT, 2010Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesRamón Ramírez, BOS ⇄ SFG, 2010Boston Red Sox ⇄ San Francisco GiantsCorey Kluber, CLE ⇄ SDP ⇄ STL, 2010Cleveland Guardians ⇄ San Diego Padres ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsWill Ohman, BAL ⇄ MIA, 2010Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Miami MarlinsJavier López, PIT ⇄ SFG, 2010Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ San Francisco GiantsMark Melancon, HOU ⇄ NYY, 2010Houston Astros ⇄ New York YankeesTim Collins, ATL ⇄ KCR, 2010Atlanta Braves ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsARI ⇄ TBR, 2010Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Tampa Bay Rays

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
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