August 25, 2009

Billy Wagner and 2 others: Boston Red SoxNew York Mets

Billy Wagner and Chris Carter changed clubs, and neither amounted to much for either side.

franchise trade score

42even

Franchise trade score42

Rest of season36WAR in+0.3WAR out0.0Net+0.3Net surplus−$2.3M

Short term41WAR in+0.3WAR out-0.1Net+0.4Net surplus−$1.6M

Control window42WAR in+0.3WAR out-0.1Net+0.4Net surplus−$1.6M

Full tenure42WAR in+0.3WAR out-0.1Net+0.4Net surplus−$1.6M

franchise trade score

58even

Franchise trade score58

Rest of season64WAR in0.0WAR out+0.3Net-0.3Net surplus$2.3M

Short term59WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.3Net-0.4Net surplus$1.6M

Control window58WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.3Net-0.4Net surplus$1.6M

Full tenure58WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.3Net-0.4Net surplus$1.6M

Boston Red Sox received

Billy WagnerP · 38 · signed (FA) · 2 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr48

Rest of season59WAR+0.3FIP−60IP14Surplus−$2.3M

Short term49WAR+0.3FIP−60IP14Surplus−$2.3M

Control window47WAR+0.3FIP−60IP14Surplus−$2.3M

Full tenure48WAR+0.3FIP−60IP14Surplus−$2.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +4.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 62, salary $10.5M, signed through 2010.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Billy Wagner	signed (FA) thru 2010	$10.5M	$3.5M	+0.3	—	−$2.3M
Total over the control window			$3.5M	+0.3	—	−$2.3M

Chris CarterLF · 27 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr32

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term30WAR-0.1wRC+95PA180Surplus−$0.7M

Control window32WAR-0.1wRC+95PA180Surplus−$0.7M

Full tenure33WAR-0.1wRC+95PA180Surplus−$0.7M

On the day: +0.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 102, salary $400K.

Eddie Lora—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Chris Carter	pre-arb	$400K	$0.4M	-0.1	—	−$0.7M
Total over the control window			$0.4M	-0.1	—	−$0.7M

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

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