July 30, 2009

Josh Harrison and 4 others: Chicago CubsPittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates came out ahead by 6.8 WAR, most of it from Josh Harrison.

Chicago Cubs

franchise trade score

7far worse

Franchise trade score7

Rest of season92WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.5Net+1.1Net surplus$3.3M

Short term89WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.5Net+2.1Net surplus$5.6M

Control window3WAR in+2.3WAR out+9.1Net-6.8Net surplus−$35.7M

Full tenure2WAR in+1.1WAR out+12.4Net-11.3Net surplus−$54.0M

Pittsburgh Pirates

franchise trade score

93far better

Franchise trade score93

Rest of season8WAR in-0.5WAR out+0.6Net-1.1Net surplus−$3.3M

Short term11WAR in-0.5WAR out+1.6Net-2.1Net surplus−$5.6M

Control window97WAR in+9.1WAR out+2.3Net+6.8Net surplus$35.7M

Full tenure98WAR in+12.4WAR out+1.1Net+11.3Net surplus$54.0M

Chicago Cubs received

Tom GorzelannyP · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+1.9WAR (control) · 2 yr82

Rest of season77WAR+0.2FIP−97IP38Surplus$0.6M

Short term84WAR+1.9FIP−97IP175Surplus$7.9M

Control window81WAR+1.9FIP−97IP175Surplus$7.9M

Full tenure80WAR+1.9FIP−97IP175Surplus$7.9M

On the day: +2.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -29, FIP− 149, salary $433K.

John GrabowP · 31 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr54

Rest of season83WAR+0.4FIP−91IP25Surplus$0.5M

Short term16WAR-0.3FIP−116IP51Surplus−$4.4M

Control window65WAR+0.4FIP−91IP25Surplus$0.5M

Full tenure7WAR-0.8FIP−124IP113Surplus−$10.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +2.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 106, salary $2.3M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Tom Gorzelanny	pre-arb	$433K	$1.0M	+1.9	$0.5M	$7.9M
John Grabow	arb 3	$2.3M	$1.0M	+0.4	—	$0.5M
Total over the control window			$1.9M	+2.3	$0.9M	$8.4M

Pittsburgh Pirates received

Kevin HartP · 27 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr14

Rest of season8WAR-0.5FIP−123IP53Surplus−$2.0M

Short term13WAR-0.5FIP−123IP53Surplus−$2.0M

Control window14WAR-0.5FIP−123IP53Surplus−$2.0M

Full tenure15WAR-0.5FIP−123IP53Surplus−$2.0M

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 107, salary $408K.

Josh Harrison2B · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control+9.7WAR (control) · 6 yr81

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Control window92WAR+9.7wRC+100PA2096Surplus$47.0M

Full tenure92WAR+13.0wRC+98PA3012Surplus$54.5M

José AscanioP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr26

Rest of season21WAR-0.0FIP−65IP3Surplus−$0.2M

Short term33WAR-0.0FIP−65IP3Surplus−$0.2M

Control window25WAR-0.1FIP−141IP9Surplus−$1.0M

Full tenure26WAR-0.1FIP−141IP9Surplus−$1.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 160, salary $405K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Kevin Hart	pre-arb	$408K	$0.2M	-0.5	—	−$2.0M
Josh Harrison	prospect	est.	$10.3M	+9.7	$1.1M	$47.0M
José Ascanio	pre-arb	$405K	$0.6M	-0.1	—	−$1.0M
Total over the control window			$11.0M	+9.1	$1.2M	$44.1M

What this became

Tom Gorzelanny → WSNTom Gorzelanny, CHC ⇄ WSN, 2011+1.2 WAR

Also that day

Steve Johnson, BAL ⇄ LAD, 2009Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Los Angeles Dodgers

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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