January 28, 2009

Aaron Heilman and 2 others: Chicago CubsSeattle Mariners

Chicago Cubs came out ahead by 2.6 WAR, most of it from Aaron Heilman.

franchise trade score

91far better

Franchise trade score91

Rest of season98WAR in+0.6WAR out-1.9Net+2.5Net surplus$10.4M

Short term94WAR in+0.6WAR out-2.0Net+2.6Net surplus$11.0M

Control window91WAR in+0.6WAR out-2.0Net+2.6Net surplus$11.0M

Full tenure90WAR in+0.6WAR out-2.0Net+2.6Net surplus$11.0M

franchise trade score

9far worse

Franchise trade score9

Rest of season2WAR in-1.9WAR out+0.6Net-2.5Net surplus−$10.4M

Short term6WAR in-2.0WAR out+0.6Net-2.6Net surplus−$11.0M

Control window9WAR in-2.0WAR out+0.6Net-2.6Net surplus−$11.0M

Full tenure10WAR in-2.0WAR out+0.6Net-2.6Net surplus−$11.0M

Chicago Cubs received

Aaron HeilmanP · 31 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr68

Rest of season81WAR+0.6FIP−102IP72Surplus$0.7M

Short term69WAR+0.6FIP−102IP72Surplus$0.7M

Control window67WAR+0.6FIP−102IP72Surplus$0.7M

Full tenure67WAR+0.6FIP−102IP72Surplus$0.7M

On the day: +1.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 115, salary $1.6M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Aaron Heilman	arb 2	$1.6M	$1.5M	+0.6	$2.6M	$0.7M
Total over the control window			$1.5M	+0.6	$2.6M	$0.7M

Ronny CedeñoSS · 26 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control-1.1WAR (control) · 1 yr2

Rest of season1WAR-1.1wRC+29PA206Surplus−$6.4M

Short term2WAR-1.1wRC+29PA206Surplus−$6.4M

Control window2WAR-1.1wRC+29PA206Surplus−$6.4M

Full tenure3WAR-1.1wRC+29PA206Surplus−$6.4M

On the day: -1.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 74, salary $823K.

Garrett OlsonP · 26 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.8WAR (control) · 2 yr6

Rest of season3WAR-0.8FIP−148IP80Surplus−$3.3M

Short term5WAR-0.8FIP−138IP118Surplus−$4.0M

Control window6WAR-0.8FIP−138IP118Surplus−$4.0M

Full tenure6WAR-0.8FIP−138IP118Surplus−$4.0M

On the day: -0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 26, FIP− 114, salary $420K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Ronny Cedeño	arb 2	$823K	$0.8M	-1.1	—	−$6.4M
Garrett Olson	pre-arb	$420K	$0.8M	-0.8	—	−$4.0M
Total over the control window			$1.6M	-2.0	—	−$10.3M

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs