July 31, 2008

Jason Bay and 5 others: Boston Red SoxLos Angeles DodgersPittsburgh Pirates

A multi-team deal: each club is scored on what it received.

Boston Red Sox
scored on what the club received
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season95WAR in+1.6WAR out+2.7Net-1.1Net surplus−$5.4M
Short term99WAR in+6.5WAR out+4.7Net+1.8Net surplus$33.1M
Control window96WAR in+6.5WAR out+4.4Net+2.1Net surplus$34.6M
Full tenure96WAR in+6.5WAR out+5.2Net+1.3Net surplus$48.0M
Los Angeles Dodgers
scored on what the club received
87far better
Franchise trade score87
Rest of season99WAR in+3.2WAR out-0.8Net+4.0Net surplus$16.2M
Short term90WAR in+5.5WAR out+1.5Net+4.1Net surplus−$5.2M
Control window87WAR in+5.5WAR out-0.3Net+5.8Net surplus$3.0M
Full tenure39WAR in+6.3WAR out-0.3Net+6.6Net surplus−$10.4M
Pittsburgh Pirates
scored on what the club received
18far worse
Franchise trade score18
Rest of season5WAR in-1.3WAR out+1.6Net-2.9Net surplus−$10.7M
Short term83WAR in+0.7WAR out+6.5Net-5.8Net surplus−$27.9M
Control window15WAR in-1.4WAR out+6.5Net-7.9Net surplus−$37.6M
Full tenure16WAR in-1.4WAR out+6.5Net-7.9Net surplus−$37.6M

Boston Red Sox received

Jason BayLF · 30 · signed · 2 yrs control+6.5WAR (control) · 2 yr96
Rest of season95WAR+1.6wRC+131PA211Surplus$5.2M
Short term98WAR+6.5wRC+134PA849Surplus$32.5M
Control window95WAR+6.5wRC+134PA849Surplus$32.5M
Full tenure94WAR+6.5wRC+134PA849Surplus$32.5M

On the day: +8.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 93, salary $6.0M, signed through 2009.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jason Baysigned thru 2009$6.0M$10.3M+6.5$1.6M$32.5M
Total over the control window$10.3M+6.5$1.6M$32.5M

Los Angeles Dodgers received

Manny RamirezLF · 36 · signed (FA) · 2 yrs control+5.5WAR (control) · 2 yr93
Rest of season99WAR+3.2wRC+210PA229Surplus$13.0M
Short term96WAR+5.5wRC+169PA660Surplus$3.9M
Control window91WAR+5.5wRC+169PA660Surplus$3.9M
Full tenure71WAR+6.3wRC+164PA892Surplus−$9.4M

On the day: +7.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 126, salary $18.9M, signed through 2009.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Manny Ramirezsigned (FA) thru 2009$18.9M$31.7M+5.5$5.7M$3.9M
Total over the control window$31.7M+5.5$5.7M$3.9M

Pittsburgh Pirates received

Craig HansenP · 25 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 2 yr12
Rest of season7WAR-0.4FIP−166IP16Surplus−$1.7M
Short term11WAR-0.4FIP−159IP22Surplus−$2.6M
Control window12WAR-0.4FIP−159IP22Surplus−$2.6M
Full tenure13WAR-0.4FIP−159IP22Surplus−$2.6M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.8 WAR over the prior three seasons.

Brandon Moss1B · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.7WAR (control) · 3 yr10
Rest of season17WAR-0.1wRC+82PA177Surplus−$0.7M
Short term14WAR-0.4wRC+78PA601Surplus−$2.0M
Control window9WAR-0.7wRC+75PA628Surplus−$3.5M
Full tenure9WAR-0.7wRC+75PA628Surplus−$3.5M

On the day: +0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 117.

Andy LaRoche3B · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.5WAR (control) · 3 yr66
Rest of season2WAR-0.8wRC+20PA183Surplus−$3.1M
Short term76WAR+1.5wRC+78PA773Surplus$9.1M
Control window62WAR+0.5wRC+71PA1044Surplus$4.2M
Full tenure62WAR+0.5wRC+71PA1044Surplus$4.2M

On the day: +0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 78, salary $393K.

Bryan MorrisP · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.7WAR (control) · 3 yr14
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window7WAR-0.7FIP−138IP94Surplus−$3.2M
Full tenure8WAR-0.7FIP−138IP94Surplus−$3.2M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Craig Hansenpre-arbest.$1.0M-0.4−$2.6M
Brandon Mosspre-arbest.$1.0M-0.7−$3.5M
Andy LaRochepre-arb$393K$1.0M+0.5$4.2M
Bryan Morrisprospectest.$1.5M-0.7−$3.2M
Total over the control window$4.5M-1.4−$5.1M

What this became

  1. Bryan Morris → MIABryan Morris, MIA ⇄ PIT, 2014+1.4 WAR

Also that day

Nick Masset, CHW ⇄ CIN, 2008Chicago White Sox ⇄ Cincinnati RedsArthur Rhodes, MIA ⇄ SEA, 2008Miami Marlins ⇄ Seattle MarinersAlberto González, NYY ⇄ WSN, 2008New York Yankees ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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How the scores work