February 8, 2008

Adam Jones and 5 others: Baltimore OriolesSeattle Mariners

Baltimore Orioles came out ahead by 16.9 WAR, most of it from Adam Jones.

Baltimore Orioles
franchise trade score
99far better
Franchise trade score99
Rest of season95WAR in+2.1WAR out+1.2Net+0.9Net surplus$8.6M
Short term96WAR in+5.9WAR out+3.1Net+2.8Net surplus$22.3M
Control window99WAR in+18.1WAR out+1.2Net+16.9Net surplus$78.4M
Full tenure100WAR in+41.6WAR out+4.4Net+37.2Net surplus$139.5M
Seattle Mariners
franchise trade score
1far worse
Franchise trade score1
Rest of season5WAR in+1.2WAR out+2.1Net-0.9Net surplus−$8.6M
Short term4WAR in+3.1WAR out+5.9Net-2.8Net surplus−$22.3M
Control window1WAR in+1.2WAR out+18.1Net-16.9Net surplus−$78.4M
Full tenure0WAR in+4.4WAR out+41.6Net-37.2Net surplus−$139.5M

Baltimore Orioles received

Adam JonesCF · 23 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+9.2WAR (control) · 4 yr92
Rest of season86WAR+1.8wRC+84PA514Surplus$8.4M
Short term88WAR+3.8wRC+94PA1033Surplus$19.6M
Control window92WAR+9.2wRC+101PA2272Surplus$44.9M
Full tenure96WAR+30.9wRC+108PA6841Surplus$113.7M

On the day: +0.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 86, salary $390K.

George SherrillP · 31 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+1.6WAR (control) · 2 yr82
Rest of season77WAR+0.2FIP−97IP53Surplus$0.1M
Short term84WAR+1.6FIP−85IP95Surplus$3.6M
Control window81WAR+1.6FIP−85IP95Surplus$3.6M
Full tenure80WAR+1.6FIP−85IP95Surplus$3.6M

On the day: +2.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 72, salary $980K.

Tony Butler—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Chris TillmanP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control+7.0WAR (control) · 6 yr80
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term54WAR+0.1FIP−133IP65Surplus$0.1M
Control window88WAR+7.0FIP−109IP680Surplus$29.8M
Full tenure87WAR+8.8FIP−111IP1145Surplus$28.2M
Kam MickolioP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 3 yr63
Rest of season60WAR+0.1FIP−59IP8Surplus−$0.1M
Short term68WAR+0.4FIP−57IP21Surplus$0.7M
Control window61WAR+0.3FIP−72IP25Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure62WAR+0.3FIP−72IP25Surplus$0.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Adam Jonespre-arb$390K$4.5M+9.2$0.5M$44.9M
George Sherrillarb 2$980K$3.6M+1.6$2.3M$3.6M
Chris Tillmanprospectest.$2.8M+7.0$0.4M$29.8M
Kam Mickoliopre-arbest.$1.2M+0.3—$0.0M
Total over the control window$12.0M+18.1$0.7M$78.3M

Seattle Mariners received

Érik BédardP · 29 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+1.2WAR (control) · 1 yr69
Rest of season70WAR+1.2FIP−102IP81Surplus−$0.1M
Short term87WAR+3.1FIP−92IP164Surplus$1.7M
Control window65WAR+1.2FIP−102IP81Surplus−$0.1M
Full tenure86WAR+4.4FIP−93IP255Surplus$6.0M

On the day: +13.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 116, FIP− 70, salary $7.0M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Érik Bédardarb 3$7.0M$5.8M+1.2$5.1M−$0.1M
Total over the control window$5.8M+1.2$5.1M−$0.1M

What this became

  1. George Sherrill → LADSteve Johnson, BAL ⇄ LAD, 2009+0.3 WAR
  2. Kam Mickolio → ARIDavid Hernandez, ARI ⇄ BAL, 2010-0.0 WAR
  3. Érik Bédard → BOSStephen Fife, BOS ⇄ LAD ⇄ SEA, 2011+0.4 WAR
  4. Josh Bell → ARIARI ⇄ BAL, 2012-0.5 WAR
  5. Trayvon Robinson → BALBAL ⇄ SEA, 20120.0 WAR
  6. Tim Federowicz → SDPYasmani Grandal, LAD ⇄ SDP, 20140.0 WAR
  7. Robert Andino → PITPIT ⇄ SEA, 20130.0 WAR
  8. Zach Eflin → PHIZach Eflin, LAD ⇄ PHI, 2014+6.4 WAR
  9. Joe Wieland → SEALAD ⇄ SEA, 2016-0.1 WAR
  10. Matt Kemp → ATLATL ⇄ SDP, 2016-1.1 WAR
  11. Joe Wieland → ATLATL ⇄ SEA, 20160.0 WAR
  12. Matt Kemp → LADMatt Kemp, ATL ⇄ LAD, 2017+1.6 WAR
  13. Erick Mejia → KCRJoakim Soria, CHW ⇄ KCR ⇄ LAD, 2018-0.4 WAR

The web around this trade

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