February 2, 2008

Johan Santana and 4 others: Minnesota TwinsNew York Mets

New York Mets came out ahead by 12.1 WAR, most of it from Johan Santana.

Minnesota Twins
franchise trade score
4far worse
Franchise trade score4
Rest of season1WAR in+2.3WAR out+6.2Net-3.9Net surplus−$20.0M
Short term1WAR in+2.8WAR out+10.0Net-7.1Net surplus−$24.7M
Control window4WAR in+2.8WAR out+14.9Net-12.1Net surplus−$21.8M
Full tenure4WAR in+2.8WAR out+14.9Net-12.1Net surplus−$21.8M
New York Mets
franchise trade score
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season99WAR in+6.2WAR out+2.3Net+3.9Net surplus$20.0M
Short term99WAR in+10.0WAR out+2.8Net+7.1Net surplus$24.7M
Control window96WAR in+14.9WAR out+2.8Net+12.1Net surplus$21.8M
Full tenure96WAR in+14.9WAR out+2.8Net+12.1Net surplus$21.8M

Minnesota Twins received

Carlos GómezCF · 23 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+3.1WAR (control) · 2 yr79
Rest of season86WAR+2.4wRC+74PA614Surplus$14.3M
Short term82WAR+3.1wRC+71PA963Surplus$16.5M
Control window78WAR+3.1wRC+71PA963Surplus$16.5M
Full tenure77WAR+3.1wRC+71PA963Surplus$16.5M

On the day: +1.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 52, salary $395K.

Philip HumberP · 26 · signed · 4 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 2 yr18
Rest of season16WAR-0.1FIP−192IP12Surplus−$0.7M
Short term17WAR-0.2FIP−164IP21Surplus−$2.2M
Control window18WAR-0.2FIP−164IP21Surplus−$2.2M
Full tenure19WAR-0.2FIP−164IP21Surplus−$2.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 121.

Deolis GuerraP · 19 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for MIN

Kevin MulveyP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr27
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term26WAR-0.1FIP−72IP1Surplus−$0.7M
Control window28WAR-0.1FIP−72IP1Surplus−$0.7M
Full tenure29WAR-0.1FIP−72IP1Surplus−$0.7M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Carlos Gómezpre-arb$395K$0.8M+3.1$0.2M$16.5M
Philip Humbersignedest.$1.5M-0.2—−$2.2M
Deolis Guerraprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Kevin Mulveyprospectest.$0.4M-0.1—−$0.7M
Total over the control window$2.7M+2.8$0.9M$13.6M

New York Mets received

Johan SantanaP · 29 · signed (FA) · 7 yrs control+14.9WAR (control) · 4 yr94
Rest of season97WAR+6.2FIP−82IP234Surplus$33.5M
Short term95WAR+10.0FIP−86IP401Surplus$38.4M
Control window93WAR+14.9FIP−90IP717Surplus$35.4M
Full tenure93WAR+14.9FIP−90IP717Surplus$35.4M

On the day: +18.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 175, FIP− 89, salary $17.0M, signed through 2014.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Johan Santanasigned (FA) thru 2014$17.0M$77.2M+14.9$5.2M$35.4M
Total over the control window$77.2M+14.9$5.2M$35.4M

What this became

  1. Kevin Mulvey → ARIJon Rauch, ARI ⇄ MIN, 2009-0.4 WAR
  2. Carlos Gómez → MILCarlos Gómez, MIL ⇄ MIN, 2009+17.5 WAR
  3. J. J. Hardy → BALJ. J. Hardy, BAL ⇄ MIN, 2010+7.1 WAR
  4. Carlos Gómez → HOUJosh Hader, HOU ⇄ MIL, 2015-0.1 WAR
  5. Brett Phillips → KCRBrett Phillips, KCR ⇄ MIL, 2018+0.8 WAR
  6. Domingo Santana → SEABen Gamel, MIL ⇄ SEA, 2018+0.3 WAR
  7. Josh Hader → SDPJosh Hader, MIL ⇄ SDP, 2022+1.7 WAR
  8. Adrian Houser → NYMTyrone Taylor, MIL ⇄ NYM, 2023-0.5 WAR
  9. Brett Phillips → TBRBrett Phillips, KCR ⇄ TBR, 2020+2.4 WAR
  10. Esteury Ruiz → OAKWilliam Contreras, ATL ⇄ MIL ⇄ OAK, 2022+0.3 WAR
  11. Tyrone Taylor → CHCTyrone Taylor, CHC ⇄ NYM, 2026+0.9 WAR

The web around this trade

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