April 17, 2004

Kirk Saarloos and 1 others: Houston AstrosAthletics

Athletics came out ahead by 2.9 WAR, most of it from Kirk Saarloos.

franchise trade score

9far worse

Franchise trade score9

Rest of season15WAR in-0.4WAR out+0.1Net-0.6Net surplus−$1.6M

Short term7WAR in-0.7WAR out+2.0Net-2.7Net surplus−$9.4M

Control window9WAR in-0.7WAR out+2.2Net-2.9Net surplus−$9.6M

Full tenure10WAR in-0.7WAR out+2.2Net-2.9Net surplus−$9.6M

HOU reached the World Series in 2005

franchise trade score

91far better

Franchise trade score91

Rest of season85WAR in+0.1WAR out-0.4Net+0.6Net surplus$1.6M

Short term93WAR in+2.0WAR out-0.7Net+2.7Net surplus$9.4M

Control window91WAR in+2.2WAR out-0.7Net+2.9Net surplus$9.6M

Full tenure90WAR in+2.2WAR out-0.7Net+2.9Net surplus$9.6M

Houston Astros received

Chad HarvilleP · 28 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control-0.7WAR (control) · 2 yr10

Rest of season12WAR-0.4FIP−110IP53Surplus−$1.5M

Short term10WAR-0.7FIP−121IP91Surplus−$2.6M

Control window11WAR-0.7FIP−121IP91Surplus−$2.6M

Full tenure11WAR-0.7FIP−121IP91Surplus−$2.6M

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 126, salary $307K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Chad Harville	arb 1	$307K	$0.6M	-0.7	—	−$2.6M
Total over the control window			$0.6M	-0.7	—	−$2.6M

Kirk SaarloosP · 25 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+2.2WAR (control) · 3 yr77

Rest of season76WAR+0.1FIP−134IP24Surplus$0.1M

Short term82WAR+2.0FIP−108IP184Surplus$6.8M

Control window77WAR+2.2FIP−115IP305Surplus$7.0M

Full tenure76WAR+2.2FIP−115IP305Surplus$7.0M

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -43, FIP− 81.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Kirk Saarloos	pre-arb	est.	$0.9M	+2.2	$0.4M	$7.0M
Total over the control window			$0.9M	+2.2	$0.4M	$7.0M

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