August 31, 1999

Rod Beck and 2 others: Boston Red SoxChicago Cubs

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Boston Red Sox

franchise trade score

76better

Franchise trade score76

Rest of season84WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.5Net+1.1Net surplus$0.9M

Short term79WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.5Net+2.1Net surplus$1.5M

Control window75WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.6Net+1.2Net surplus$1.3M

Full tenure46WAR in+1.7WAR out-0.5Net+2.2Net surplus−$2.1M

Chicago Cubs

franchise trade score

24worse

Franchise trade score24

Rest of season16WAR in-0.5WAR out+0.6Net-1.1Net surplus−$0.9M

Short term21WAR in-0.5WAR out+1.6Net-2.1Net surplus−$1.5M

Control window25WAR in-0.6WAR out+0.6Net-1.2Net surplus−$1.3M

Full tenure54WAR in-0.5WAR out+1.7Net-2.2Net surplus$2.1M

Boston Red Sox received

Rod BeckP · 31 · FA eligible · 1 yr control+0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr60

Rest of season66WAR+0.6FIP−59IP14Surplus−$0.7M

Short term68WAR+1.6FIP−65IP55Surplus−$1.9M

Control window56WAR+0.6FIP−59IP14Surplus−$0.7M

Full tenure59WAR+1.7FIP−96IP135Surplus−$5.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +3.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 85, salary $5.5M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Rod Beck	FA eligible	$5.5M	$1.8M	+0.6	$3.2M	−$0.7M
Total over the control window			$1.8M	+0.6	$3.2M	−$0.7M

Chicago Cubs received

Mark GuthrieP · 34 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr53

Rest of season61WAR+0.1FIP−79IP12Surplus−$0.3M

Short term54WAR+0.2FIP−80IP31Surplus−$1.6M

Control window51WAR+0.1FIP−79IP12Surplus−$0.3M

Full tenure54WAR+0.2FIP−80IP31Surplus−$1.6M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 86, salary $1.6M.

Cole Liniak3B · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.7WAR (control) · 2 yr9

Rest of season5WAR-0.7wRC+43PA30Surplus−$1.4M

Short term8WAR-0.7wRC+30PA33Surplus−$1.7M

Control window9WAR-0.7wRC+30PA33Surplus−$1.7M

Full tenure10WAR-0.7wRC+30PA33Surplus−$1.7M

too little playing time to rate quality

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Mark Guthrie	signed (FA)	$1.6M	$0.5M	+0.1	—	−$0.3M
Cole Liniak	pre-arb	est.	$0.3M	-0.7	—	−$1.7M
Total over the control window			$0.8M	-0.6	—	−$2.0M

What this became

Mark Guthrie → TBRMark Guthrie, CHC ⇄ TBR, 2000+0.1 WAR
Dave Martinez → TEXDave Martinez, CHC ⇄ TEX, 2000+0.6 WAR
Mark Guthrie → TORBrent Abernathy, TBR ⇄ TOR, 2000+0.2 WAR
Dave Martinez → TORDave Martinez, TEX ⇄ TOR, 2000+0.8 WAR

Also that day

CHC ⇄ CLE, 1999Chicago Cubs ⇄ Cleveland Guardians Lenny Harris, ARI ⇄ COL, 1999Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Colorado Rockies Stan Javier, HOU ⇄ SFG, 1999Houston Astros ⇄ San Francisco Giants

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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