May 21, 1999

Kyle Lohse and 3 others: Chicago CubsMinnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins came out ahead by 5.9 WAR, most of it from Kyle Lohse.

Chicago Cubs

franchise trade score

9far worse

Franchise trade score9

Rest of season37WAR in+0.5WAR out+0.2Net+0.3Net surplus−$1.9M

Short term35WAR in+0.5WAR out-0.1Net+0.6Net surplus−$4.5M

Control window6WAR in+0.9WAR out+6.8Net-5.9Net surplus−$16.3M

Full tenure5WAR in+0.5WAR out+6.8Net-6.3Net surplus−$20.5M

Minnesota Twins

franchise trade score

91far better

Franchise trade score91

Rest of season63WAR in+0.2WAR out+0.5Net-0.3Net surplus$1.9M

Short term65WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.5Net-0.6Net surplus$4.5M

Control window94WAR in+6.8WAR out+0.9Net+5.9Net surplus$16.3M

Full tenure95WAR in+6.8WAR out+0.5Net+6.3Net surplus$20.5M

Chicago Cubs received

Rick AguileraP · 38 · FA eligible · 1 yr control+0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr54

Rest of season64WAR+0.5FIP−90IP46Surplus−$1.6M

Short term40WAR+0.0FIP−109IP94Surplus−$5.7M

Control window56WAR+0.5FIP−90IP46Surplus−$1.6M

Full tenure39WAR+0.0FIP−109IP94Surplus−$5.7M

On the day: +4.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 81, salary $4.3M.

Scott DownsP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr65

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term66WAR+0.4FIP−105IP94Surplus$0.7M

Control window64WAR+0.4FIP−105IP94Surplus$0.7M

Full tenure64WAR+0.4FIP−105IP94Surplus$0.7M

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Rick Aguilera	FA eligible	$4.3M	$2.5M	+0.5	—	−$1.6M
Scott Downs	prospect	est.	$0.3M	+0.4	—	$0.7M
Total over the control window			$2.8M	+0.9	$3.0M	−$0.9M

Minnesota Twins received

Kyle LohseP · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control+6.9WAR (control) · 6 yr76

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window86WAR+6.9FIP−109IP908Surplus$16.0M

Full tenure86WAR+6.9FIP−109IP908Surplus$16.0M

Jason RyanP · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr24

Rest of season69WAR+0.2FIP−142IP41Surplus$0.3M

Short term22WAR-0.1FIP−143IP67Surplus−$0.6M

Control window24WAR-0.1FIP−143IP67Surplus−$0.6M

Full tenure25WAR-0.1FIP−143IP67Surplus−$0.6M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $200K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Kyle Lohse	prospect	est.	$7.6M	+6.9	$1.1M	$16.0M
Jason Ryan	pre-arb	$200K	$0.4M	-0.1	—	−$0.6M
Total over the control window			$7.9M	+6.8	$1.2M	$15.4M

What this became

Scott Downs → WSNRondell White, CHC ⇄ WSN, 2000-0.6 WAR
Kyle Lohse → CINKyle Lohse, CIN ⇄ MIN, 2006+1.2 WAR
Kyle Lohse → PHIKyle Lohse, CIN ⇄ PHI, 2007+0.8 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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